I just saw a poll where Harry Reid now has a lead over Republican challenger Sharron Angle. Apparently, she is scaring more voters away than Reid can piss off. He still can't seem to clear 44%, so Angle still has a chance, if she keeps her foot out of her mouth.
In Delaware, Mike Castle's lead is also shrinking. As election day gets closer, the races will tighten, and it will be a matter of turnout. Republicans are more motivated to vote, and Independents give Democrats low approvals. Independents also give Republicans low approvals. So, if Republicans are not able to offer a message and plan to Independents, they simply won't turn up at the polls. Even though Republicans are more motivated right now, they are still outnumbered by Democrats.
With just under 4 months to go, I don't get why the Republicans have not produced their 2010 version of the Contract for America yet. In my view, the Republicans have inept leadership at the top. Therefore, I just don't see how they gain the House, and they certainly will not get control of the Senate.
Friday, July 16, 2010
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